A Regression Model on Urban Migration and Agricultural Labour Force in India from 2012 to 2022 and the Impact on Rural Sector

The objective of the study is to find the importance of increasing Socio-economic development in rural areas of India. Data reveal that urban migration has reduced even the agricultural labour force in the rural sector. The share of rural economy has been falling. Rural people have been facing challenges because of low income, low standard of living and inadequate job opportunities. The urban migration is increasing. Rural areas have been brought under some important Government projects. But there exist challenges related to basic services like medical, education and recreation too. Real developmental gap between the rural and urban areas has been widening. Excessive migration to-wards urban areas should be checked. For this necessary infrastructure support is desirable in rural areas. Investment opportunities including non-agricultural sectors are important. This will reduce the existing gap in development and thereby migratory trends will move backwards. Aim of the Study: Under the above circumstances, certain features have already cropped up which may call for the necessity of rural socio-economic infrastructural issues as an imperative for reducing the gap between the rural and urban economies. The primary aim is to highlight the importance of using the resources in the rural economy in order to ensure balanced development across the sectors concerned. Methodology: The study deals with statistical data, regression calculation, diagram, calculation of Standard Error and that for accepting the model (hypothesis testing). Data have been collected from published sources. As for symbolized residual, ε (epsilon) has been mentioned (ε =y-ŷ) to show the difference between the dependent variable (Y) and predicted value (ŷ) from the regression model. The negatively slopped regression line shows a decline in y-values, while x-values are increasing. Hypothesis: Migration of labour force from Agricultural sector has resulted socio-economic challenges for the rural sector in India. Drawback of the study: The matters under consideration are based on the availability of statistical data. However current data for sub-sectors under the Indian agriculture sector are somewhat lacking, in the study. So there may be a gap related to data. Besides, the detailed information in respect of the reasons of urban migration is also lacking in the study. Thus micro level impacts were not studied.